Identificación y análisis de los patrones temporales y espaciales de los incendios forestales causados por rayos en la región de Murcia (sureste de España): periodo 2000-2020
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.14195/1647-7723_32-extra1_13Palavras-chave:
Riesgo natural, análisis de tendencias, varabilidad, probabilidad, modelo predictivoResumo
Se presenta un estudio en el que se han analizado diferentes elementos que han permitido la consecución de toda una secuencia de patrones temporales y espaciales asociados a los incendios forestales originados por rayos en la Región de Murcia, a lo largo del periodo 2000-2020. El resultado ha sido la obtención de una relación entre los incendios inducidos por rayos con una serie de patrones temporales desde el punto de vista de tendencia dentro del periodo, interanual, mensual, por quincenas y horaria, además de la consecución de toda una serie de patrones espaciales desde el punto de vista de su localización geográfica, altitud, pendiente, orientación, modelo de combustible, comunidades vegetales, humedad del material vegetal fino, condiciones meteorológicas, piso bioclimático, edafología, litología e intensidad eléctrica (Kiloamperios) de los rayos. En la investigación se han analizado los datos proporcionados por la UDIF (Unidad de Defensa contra Incendios Forestales de la Región de Murcia), obtenidos de los informes realizados por los agentes medioambientales que recogieron la información. Se concluye que la distribución de los incendios forestales originados por rayos no es aleatoria, y el riesgo de simultaneidad de incendios al que dan lugar las descargas eléctricas provocadas por tormentas hacen que este fenómeno de origen natural deba tenerse muy en cuenta por parte de las administraciones y gestores ambientales.
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